Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AUT
0 - 1
IRL
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MDA
1 - 3
IRL
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 0
GEO
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 2
IRL
39%
28%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
IRL
4 - 0
OMN
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WLS
1 - 1
SRB
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
WLS
1 - 1
GEO
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
AUT
2 - 2
WLS
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
WLS
4 - 0
MDA
67%
22%
11%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
PRT
2 - 0
WLS
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |