Qatar vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
QAT
0 - 1
LBN
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
QAT
3 - 1
QAT
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
UZB
3 - 0
QAT
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRN
29%
24%
46%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
KGZ
3 - 1
QAT
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
CHN
1 - 0
BHR
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
BHR
0 - 2
KSA
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
IDN
1 - 0
BHR
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
JPN
2 - 0
BHR
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BHR
2 - 1
OMA
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |