Portugal vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
PRT
2 - 0
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
EST
0 - 1
PRT
11%
23%
66%
|
96 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
PRT
2 - 0
SVK
81%
14%
6%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
SVK
1 - 1
PRT
18%
26%
56%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PRT
4 - 1
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
LUX
0 - 4
SVK
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 85 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
LVA
4 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 73 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 5
PRT
14%
24%
62%
|
35 | 96 | 61 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
LIE
82%
11%
7%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
RUS
10%
19%
71%
|
36 | 91 | 55 | 0 |