Portugal vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
76%
16%
7%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 1
POR
6%
15%
80%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
BIH
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 56 | 40 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
HUN
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CPV
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 2
CPV
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CPV
5 - 0
EQG
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
CPV
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TAN
3 - 1
CPV
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |