Poland vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
PRT
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
BIH
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
58%
23%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
ITA
28%
28%
45%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 2
SVK
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
SVK
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
SVK
0 - 1
RUS
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SVK
0 - 4
ARM
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
IRL
0 - 0
SVK
65%
22%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |