Poland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 0
DEU
10%
16%
73%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 7
POL
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
LTU
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
DEU
0 - 0
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
SCT
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SCT
1 - 0
GEO
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEU
2 - 1
SCT
87%
10%
4%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 2
SCT
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
SCT
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
SCT
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |