Poland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
POL
0 - 0
ROU
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
POL
2 - 6
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
POL
0 - 1
YUG
46%
20%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
DEN
1 - 2
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
40%
20%
40%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
5 - 3
GBR
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
2 - 4
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |