Peru vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 0
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PER
2 - 4
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PRY
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 1
PRY
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
9%
19%
72%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 2
URY
62%
21%
18%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |