Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1921 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1922 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
29%
23%
48%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARG
32%
24%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |