New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
4 - 0
FJI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
JOR
3 - 1
NZL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NZL
2 - 0
GMB
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BHR
0 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
1 - 0
NCL
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FJI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
FJI
3 - 0
NCL
26%
22%
53%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NCL
1 - 1
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +5 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NCL
2 - 1
FJI
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |