AFC Challenge Cup Grupo D Jor. 2

Nepal vs Korea DPR analysis

Nepal Korea DPR
49 ELO 75
0.6% Tilt -6.5%
8155º General ELO ranking 1378º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.9%
Nepal
25.3%
Draw
54.8%
Korea DPR

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
Nepal
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.8%
Win probability
Korea DPR
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nepal
-29%
-1%
Korea DPR

ELO progression

Nepal
Korea DPR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nepal
Nepal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2011
AFG
Afghanistan
0 - 1
Nepal
NPL
43%
25%
32%
49 45 4 0
19 Mar. 2011
NPL
Nepal
2 - 1
Bután
BTN
76%
15%
9%
48 25 23 +1
17 Mar. 2011
NPL
Nepal
1 - 0
Bután
BTN
77%
15%
9%
48 25 23 0
09 Dec. 2009
AFG
Afghanistan
0 - 3
Nepal
NPL
42%
25%
33%
48 43 5 0
05 Dec. 2009
MDV
Maldives
1 - 1
Nepal
NPL
61%
20%
19%
48 50 2 0

Matches

Korea DPR
Korea DPR
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2011
PRK
Korea DPR
4 - 0
Sri Lanka
LKA
74%
17%
9%
75 42 33 0
29 Mar. 2011
JOR
Jordan
1 - 1
Korea DPR
PRK
46%
28%
26%
75 77 2 0
26 Mar. 2011
IRQ
Iraq
2 - 0
Korea DPR
PRK
61%
23%
16%
75 82 7 0
19 Jan. 2011
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 0
Korea DPR
PRK
60%
23%
18%
76 82 6 -1
15 Jan. 2011
IRN
Iran
1 - 0
Korea DPR
PRK
80%
14%
6%
76 89 13 0
X