Mozambique vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 1
MOZ
7%
17%
76%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
AGO
20%
27%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 2
MOZ
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
SEN
18%
28%
55%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 1
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
RWA
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MDG
3 - 1
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |