Mozambique vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ZAF
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ZMB
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NGA
1 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BFA
1 - 0
MWI
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MWI
1 - 1
CIV
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MWI
2 - 1
GIN
25%
25%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
MWI
3 - 1
SWZ
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |