UEFA Nations League League B Round 1

Montenegro vs Romania analysis

Montenegro Romania
75 ELO 85
-8.7% Tilt -15.1%
1249º General ELO ranking 220º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21%
Montenegro
24.8%
Draw
54.2%
Romania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
Montenegro
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.2%
Win probability
Romania
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montenegro
-9%
+2%
Romania

ELO progression

Montenegro
Romania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montenegro
Montenegro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2022
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 0
Greece
GRC
29%
29%
43%
73 85 12 0
24 Mar. 2022
ARM
Armenia
1 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
52%
24%
25%
74 72 2 -1
16 Nov. 2021
MNE
Montenegro
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
18%
24%
59%
74 86 12 0
13 Nov. 2021
MNE
Montenegro
2 - 2
Netherlands
NED
5%
15%
80%
73 92 19 +1
11 Oct. 2021
NOR
Norway
2 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
67%
21%
13%
74 85 11 -1

Matches

Romania
Romania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2022
ISR
Israel
2 - 2
Romania
ROU
38%
25%
37%
85 81 4 0
25 Mar. 2022
ROU
Romania
0 - 1
Greece
GRC
55%
25%
20%
86 84 2 -1
14 Nov. 2021
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 2
Romania
ROU
6%
15%
80%
86 34 52 0
11 Nov. 2021
ROU
Romania
0 - 0
Iceland
ISL
62%
21%
17%
86 79 7 0
11 Oct. 2021
ROU
Romania
1 - 0
Armenia
ARM
68%
19%
13%
86 73 13 0