Mexico vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRQ
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
MEX
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
PRY
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
CHL
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
NLD
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
62%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
2 - 2
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |