Mexico vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PRY
2 - 4
MEX
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MEX
3 - 1
CHL
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
HND
0 - 0
ECU
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
ECU
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 2
ECU
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
ECU
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |