Mexico vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
CRI
75%
16%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
MEX
13%
22%
66%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WLS
1 - 0
MEX
14%
22%
64%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
HND
2 - 2
CRI
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
HND
0 - 1
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GRC
2 - 1
HND
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
BLR
1 - 1
HND
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GTM
2 - 1
HND
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |