Macedonia vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MKD
4 - 1
MNE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BLR
0 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 2
UKR
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
ESP
7%
15%
78%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LUX
1 - 0
MKD
10%
20%
70%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
LBN
7 - 0
LAO
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
MMR
0 - 2
LBN
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LBN
0 - 0
PLE
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |