UEFA Nations League Liga D. Jor. 4

Liechtenstein vs San Marino analysis

Liechtenstein San Marino
34 ELO 17
9.7% Tilt 8.2%
10175º General ELO ranking 12379º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
70.5%
Liechtenstein
15.6%
Draw
13.9%
San Marino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
Liechtenstein
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
13.9%
Win probability
San Marino
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liechtenstein
-42%
-11%
San Marino

ELO progression

Liechtenstein
San Marino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2020
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 1
Gibraltar
GIB
25%
20%
55%
35 45 10 0
07 Oct. 2020
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 2
Liechtenstein
LIE
75%
15%
9%
34 52 18 +1
08 Sep. 2020
SMR
San Marino
0 - 2
Liechtenstein
LIE
27%
20%
53%
33 18 15 +1
18 Nov. 2019
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 3
Bosnia
BIH
5%
13%
82%
34 84 50 -1
15 Nov. 2019
FIN
Finland
3 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
89%
10%
2%
34 82 48 0

Matches

San Marino
San Marino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2020
SVN
Slovenia
4 - 0
San Marino
SMR
84%
12%
4%
17 79 62 0
08 Sep. 2020
SMR
San Marino
0 - 2
Liechtenstein
LIE
27%
20%
53%
18 33 15 -1
05 Sep. 2020
GIB
Gibraltar
1 - 0
San Marino
SMR
77%
13%
10%
18 46 28 0
19 Nov. 2019
SMR
San Marino
0 - 5
Russia
RUS
12%
19%
69%
19 89 70 -1
16 Nov. 2019
SMR
San Marino
1 - 3
Kazakhstan
KAZ
10%
17%
73%
19 61 42 0
X