Liechtenstein vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MKD
3 - 1
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LIE
1 - 0
SAU
4%
14%
82%
|
12 | 88 | 76 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
SVK
4 - 0
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
12 | 85 | 73 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 2
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
12 | 98 | 86 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
TUR
5 - 0
LIE
97%
3%
1%
|
12 | 88 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 5
HUN
3%
12%
85%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
44 | 94 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LVA
3 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
45 | 90 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 1
LVA
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |