Kenya vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
53.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TAN
1 - 0
KEN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 0
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 2
NGA
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
KEN
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 4
NGA
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |