Kazakhstan vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 1
KAZ
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MNE
0 - 0
KAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
BLR
2 - 0
KAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
KAZ
0 - 0
ALB
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
KAZ
1 - 2
BLR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 1
FRO
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
0 - 0
ALB
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LTU
2 - 2
BLR
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
LTU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |