Japan vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
JPN
4 - 1
TJK
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
JPN
10 - 0
MMR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MNG
0 - 14
JPN
5%
14%
81%
|
87 | 27 | 60 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
JPN
0 - 2
MEX
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
SRB
1 - 1
JAM
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 2
SRB
14%
26%
60%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
2 - 2
PRT
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
3 - 2
IRL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
PAN
0 - 0
SRB
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |