EC Qualifying Grupo A. Jor. 1

Iceland vs Turkey analysis

Iceland Turkey
77 ELO 88
-1.1% Tilt 0%
608º General ELO ranking 131º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.7%
Iceland
23.7%
Draw
57.6%
Turkey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
Iceland
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.6%
Win probability
Turkey
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iceland
-5%
-1%
Turkey

ELO progression

Iceland
Turkey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 2014
ISL
Iceland
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
57%
23%
20%
75 69 6 0
30 May. 2014
AUT
Austria
1 - 1
Iceland
ISL
66%
20%
14%
75 84 9 0
05 Mar. 2014
WLS
Wales
3 - 1
Iceland
ISL
55%
25%
20%
75 83 8 0
21 Jan. 2014
ISL
Iceland
0 - 2
Sweden
SWE
15%
23%
62%
76 90 14 -1
19 Nov. 2013
HRV
Croatia
2 - 0
Iceland
ISL
78%
15%
7%
76 91 15 0

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2014
DNK
Denmark
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
53%
24%
23%
88 89 1 0
01 Jun. 2014
USA
United States
2 - 1
Turkey
TUR
55%
23%
21%
88 89 1 0
30 May. 2014
HND
Honduras
2 - 2
Turkey
TUR
33%
26%
41%
88 83 5 0
25 May. 2014
IRL
Ireland
1 - 2
Turkey
TUR
47%
26%
27%
88 88 0 0
21 May. 2014
XXK
Kosovo
1 - 6
Turkey
TUR
23%
25%
52%
87 71 16 +1
X