Northern Ireland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
85.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 2
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NIR
3 - 0
BLR
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NIR
1 - 0
SVN
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
0 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 0
HUN
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DEU
1 - 3
SVK
87%
10%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DEU
4 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |