Iraq vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TWN
0 - 2
IRQ
6%
16%
78%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VNM
1 - 1
IRQ
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JOR
3 - 0
IRQ
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
IRQ
5 - 1
TWN
79%
17%
4%
|
76 | 32 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
SGP
1 - 2
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SYR
5 - 2
AFG
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SYR
0 - 3
JPN
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
OMN
2 - 1
SYR
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
KHM
0 - 6
SYR
5%
12%
83%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |