Iraq vs Palestine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
3 - 0
PSE
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
0 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRQ
93%
7%
1%
|
82 | 100 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
ZAF
0 - 0
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
IRQ
1 - 1
POL
21%
25%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palestine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
IRQ
3 - 0
PSE
80%
15%
6%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
KGZ
1 - 1
PSE
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
NPL
0 - 0
PSE
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PSE
1 - 1
JOR
18%
24%
58%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PSE
0 - 1
QAT
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |