England vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUT
70%
19%
11%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
NIR
1 - 0
ENG
13%
24%
63%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
16%
25%
59%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
DEN
4 - 1
ENG
32%
28%
40%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
COL
2 - 3
ENG
23%
28%
49%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
ISL
74%
18%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
ISR
56%
23%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
SCG
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |