England vs Slovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
99 | 100 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
DEU
1 - 2
ENG
51%
24%
25%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BLR
1 - 3
ENG
14%
25%
61%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ENG
5 - 1
KAZ
95%
4%
1%
|
99 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
HRV
1 - 4
ENG
32%
29%
39%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Slovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CYP
3 - 2
SVK
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
UKR
3 - 2
SVK
54%
25%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SVK
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
3%
|
86 | 24 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
SVK
2 - 1
POL
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SMR
1 - 3
SVK
9%
18%
72%
|
86 | 39 | 47 | 0 |