England vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
ENG
28%
24%
49%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
NLD
3 - 1
ENG
44%
23%
33%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
MNE
1 - 5
ENG
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ENG
5 - 0
CZE
68%
20%
12%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
HRV
49%
24%
26%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
BGR
2 - 3
XXK
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CZE
2 - 1
BGR
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
XXK
1 - 1
BGR
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BGR
1 - 1
MNE
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
BGR
1 - 1
SVN
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |