UEFA Nations League League A Round 3

England vs Belgium analysis

England Belgium
93 ELO 93
2% Tilt 7.9%
38º General ELO ranking 60º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46%
England
23.9%
Draw
30.1%
Belgium

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
England
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.1%
Win probability
Belgium
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
England
-1%
-6%
Belgium

ELO progression

England
Belgium
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

England
England
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2020
ENG
England
3 - 0
Wales
WAL
82%
13%
5%
93 86 7 0
08 Sep. 2020
DEN
Denmark
0 - 0
England
ENG
26%
24%
50%
93 89 4 0
05 Sep. 2020
ISL
Iceland
0 - 1
England
ENG
10%
19%
71%
93 82 11 0
17 Nov. 2019
XXK
Kosovo
0 - 4
England
ENG
9%
17%
75%
93 74 19 0
14 Nov. 2019
ENG
England
7 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
85%
12%
4%
93 74 19 0

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2020
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
86%
10%
4%
93 85 8 0
08 Sep. 2020
BEL
Belgium
5 - 1
Iceland
ISL
89%
9%
3%
93 82 11 0
05 Sep. 2020
DEN
Denmark
0 - 2
Belgium
BEL
28%
24%
48%
93 90 3 0
19 Nov. 2019
BEL
Belgium
6 - 1
Cyprus
CYP
89%
8%
3%
93 68 25 0
16 Nov. 2019
RUS
Russia
1 - 4
Belgium
BEL
27%
25%
49%
93 89 4 0