Netherlands vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NLD
3 - 0
EST
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NLD
1 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NLD
0 - 0
DEU
43%
23%
34%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 4
NLD
20%
23%
57%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
NLD
3 - 0
AND
89%
9%
2%
|
96 | 41 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HUN
2 - 2
ROU
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ROU
3 - 2
AUS
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
ROU
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 4
NLD
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |