Netherlands vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 2
NLD
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NLD
3 - 0
GRC
84%
11%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NLD
2 - 3
ITA
58%
21%
21%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
NLD
2 - 4
HRV
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NLD
3 - 0
GIB
97%
3%
0%
|
93 | 40 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
83%
13%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
GRC
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 3
FRA
6%
18%
76%
|
95 | 40 | 55 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 1
FRA
11%
22%
68%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |