Netherlands vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
NLD
5 - 0
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NIR
0 - 0
NLD
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BLR
1 - 2
NLD
7%
17%
77%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NLD
3 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
EST
0 - 4
NLD
6%
18%
76%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 0
ROU
82%
12%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
7 - 0
MLT
92%
7%
2%
|
96 | 45 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 0
FRO
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 48 | 48 | 0 |