Netherlands vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
50%
21%
28%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SUI
1 - 1
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NED
0 - 1
BEL
61%
18%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
NED
3 - 1
SUI
67%
16%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 0
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FRA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
5 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
57%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
2 - 3
ARG
66%
18%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |