EC Qualifying Grupo C round 1

Netherlands vs Belarus analysis

Netherlands Belarus
92 ELO 77
11.9% Tilt 10%
37º General ELO ranking 1592º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
87%
Netherlands
9.8%
Draw
3.2%
Belarus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
Netherlands
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.2%
Win probability
Belarus
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Netherlands
-3%
-2%
Belarus

ELO progression

Netherlands
Belarus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2018
GER
Germany
2 - 2
Netherlands
NED
49%
22%
28%
93 93 0 0
16 Nov. 2018
NED
Netherlands
2 - 0
France
FRA
44%
25%
31%
92 94 2 +1
16 Oct. 2018
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Netherlands
NED
51%
23%
26%
92 92 0 0
13 Oct. 2018
NED
Netherlands
3 - 0
Germany
GER
39%
23%
38%
92 93 1 0
09 Sep. 2018
FRA
France
2 - 1
Netherlands
NED
55%
23%
23%
92 94 2 0

Matches

Belarus
Belarus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2018
SMR
San Marino
0 - 2
Belarus
BLR
10%
20%
70%
77 22 55 0
15 Nov. 2018
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Belarus
BLR
15%
22%
64%
77 54 23 0
15 Oct. 2018
BLR
Belarus
0 - 0
Moldova
MDA
77%
16%
6%
77 58 19 0
12 Oct. 2018
BLR
Belarus
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
79%
15%
6%
77 54 23 0
11 Sep. 2018
MDA
Moldova
0 - 0
Belarus
BLR
16%
23%
62%
77 58 19 0