Guinea-Bissau vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GNB
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GNB
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
GNB
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GNB
3 - 1
CTA
78%
15%
6%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CTA
0 - 0
GNB
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 3
MLI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 1
MLI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |