Guinea-Bissau vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 3
GNB
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GNB
0 - 1
SEN
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SEN
2 - 0
GNB
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
MOZ
1 - 0
GNB
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COG
3 - 0
GNB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
COG
0 - 0
SEN
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 0
COG
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
COG
1 - 0
LBY
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
COG
1 - 1
NER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COD
1 - 0
COG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |