Ghana vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GHA
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
MLI
0 - 1
CIV
14%
21%
66%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
MLI
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 0
GUI
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |