Gabon vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 1
GAB
7%
12%
81%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GAB
3 - 0
SSD
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
ZMB
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
1 - 1
BDI
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
THA
0 - 0
GAB
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 1
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MLI
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
MLI
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |