France vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUN
77%
17%
6%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ROU
2 - 2
FRA
29%
27%
44%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 1
SRB
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AUT
3 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 3
FRA
23%
27%
50%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 2
URY
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 1
URY
64%
22%
15%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
URY
0 - 0
ECU
64%
22%
15%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
URY
43%
27%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 3
URY
40%
28%
33%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |