France vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
ENG
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
5 - 0
PRY
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
40%
25%
34%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LUX
1 - 3
FRA
6%
18%
76%
|
94 | 41 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
NLD
5 - 0
LUX
92%
7%
1%
|
92 | 42 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NLD
5 - 0
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
NLD
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NLD
1 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BGR
2 - 0
NLD
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |