France vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
1 - 2
FRA
31%
26%
42%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
PRT
61%
21%
18%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
7 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
4 - 2
HRV
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SWE
0 - 1
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
1 - 0
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
2 - 0
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
POL
5 - 1
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 1
FIN
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
FIN
0 - 1
WLS
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |