France vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
WLS
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BIH
0 - 1
FRA
7%
19%
74%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
KAZ
0 - 2
FRA
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
UKR
78%
14%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
4 - 2
SWE
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
RUS
1 - 0
BGR
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
SVK
1 - 1
BGR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BGR
0 - 2
ITA
8%
19%
73%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 3
CHE
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |