WC Qual. Oceania Grupo B. Jor. 3

Fiji vs Papua New Guinea analysis

Fiji Papua New Guinea
50 ELO 42
-3.6% Tilt -6%
4202º General ELO ranking 7051º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.3%
Fiji
20.6%
Draw
15.1%
Papua New Guinea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
Fiji
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
Papua New Guinea
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiji
-34%
-33%
Papua New Guinea

ELO progression

Fiji
Papua New Guinea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiji
Fiji
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2022
NZL
New Zealand
4 - 0
Fiji
FJI
70%
19%
11%
51 66 15 0
18 Mar. 2022
NCL
New Caledonia
1 - 2
Fiji
FJI
52%
24%
24%
50 53 3 +1
10 Jun. 2019
FJI
Fiji
0 - 0
Vanuatu
VUT
49%
25%
27%
50 48 2 0
07 Jun. 2019
FJI
Fiji
1 - 1
Tahiti
PYF
46%
23%
31%
50 47 3 0
24 Mar. 2019
FJI
Fiji
1 - 0
Mauritius
MUS
60%
22%
19%
50 42 8 0

Matches

Papua New Guinea
Papua New Guinea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2022
PNG
Papua New Guinea
1 - 0
New Caledonia
NCL
17%
22%
62%
39 52 13 0
18 Mar. 2022
PNG
Papua New Guinea
0 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
9%
17%
74%
39 66 27 0
13 Jun. 2017
PNG
Papua New Guinea
1 - 2
Solomon Islands
SLB
50%
24%
26%
40 39 1 -1
09 Jun. 2017
SLB
Solomon Islands
3 - 2
Papua New Guinea
PNG
33%
25%
42%
41 37 4 -1
29 Mar. 2017
PYF
Tahiti
1 - 2
Papua New Guinea
PNG
56%
23%
21%
42 48 6 -1
X