Estonia vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
TUR
17%
26%
58%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
70%
|
67 | 100 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ENG
5 - 1
KAZ
95%
4%
1%
|
65 | 99 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
KAZ
1 - 3
UKR
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
HRV
3 - 0
KAZ
92%
7%
1%
|
66 | 95 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
KAZ
3 - 0
AND
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
MNE
3 - 0
KAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |