Spain vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
PRT
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
XXK
96%
3%
0%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
SVK
59%
22%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
POL
2 - 2
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
POL
1 - 1
RUS
50%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POL
3 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |