UAE vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1986 |
OMN
0 - 0
ARE
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
ARE
79%
14%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1986 |
ARE
2 - 1
THA
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 0
PAK
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1986 |
QAT
3 - 2
ARE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
IDN
1 - 0
MYS
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
IDN
0 - 2
SAU
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
QAT
1 - 1
IDN
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1986 |
IDN
2 - 2
MYS
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
CAN
4 - 0
IDN
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |