Egypt vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MWI
1 - 0
EGY
18%
28%
54%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DJI
0 - 4
EGY
3%
17%
80%
|
90 | 38 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
EGY
2 - 1
COD
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
EGY
0 - 2
ARG
23%
25%
53%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CMR
0 - 1
EGY
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MWI
1 - 0
EGY
18%
28%
54%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
COD
1 - 0
MWI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
MWI
8 - 1
DJI
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TZA
1 - 1
MWI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
MWI
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +2 |