Ecuador vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
4%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
ECU
5 - 0
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
70%
21%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 0
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
URU
4 - 0
VEN
74%
19%
8%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
URU
27%
30%
43%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
70%
21%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 1
URU
22%
30%
48%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |